The booming condominium market in Canada may well avoid the type of crash that has hobbled the industry in the past. Industry executives and analysts say demographics, immigration and limited land in the biggest markets all provide long-term support for the growing number of condominiums.
Analysts attribute part of the condo boom in Vancouver and Toronto to physical and regulatory land restraints, which have changed the mix of housing from the traditional single-family home to more stacked, and high-density communities.
In addition to first-time homebuyers, condos have also become popular for retiring baby boomers that prefer the simplicity of maintaining their condo to the upkeep of a single-family dwelling. Condos are also the only option for many Vancouver and Toronto homebuyers because even the fixer-upper homes cost around $500,000 are out of reach for many.
Data on Monday showed Canadian housing starts for June surged well past market expectations. The multiple-unit dwellings category -- mainly condominiums -- accounted for the majority of starts in urban areas and the supply is growing. BMO Capital Markets recently noted inventory of completed but unoccupied multi-dwelling units at 12,672 units in May, around historical highs, compared to 4,757 for single-family homes.
Banks and condo developers, particularly in Toronto, also appear to have learned some hard lessons from the 1980s, when many built with insufficient regard for demand and got slammed as interest rates climbed. Now, very few shovels these days will ever break ground until the developer has sold at least 70 percent of the project and has secured bank financing. Financing for individuals are also Since the Bank of Canada has been able to cut borrowing costs to a record low, bank loans continue to flow which allows home prices and sales to jump.
"It's a very well disciplined supply-side of the equation," said George Carras, president of RealNet Canada, which tracks commercial and new home projects.
Carras noted building high-density housing is a natural progression for a growing city with limited room to expand outward.
Summarized From: Analysis: Condo boom may avoid crash on demographics
Written By: Ka Yan Ng
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